After a shared bottle of sparkling wine, a nice dinner of salmon with lime butter, and another shared bottle of white wine just for giggles, I’m ready to look at the votes in the roll call records. I said earlier that I found the 6 vote disparity on the gun ban and the magazine ban to be the most interesting. Those had pretty much the same universal opposition on the ground, so why would they not have nearly the same vote tallies?
These Senators voted against the gun ban, but voted to ban the magazines that are commonly used with those guns and so many more models:
Mike Bennet (D-CO)
Martin Heinrich (D-NM)
Tim Johnson (D-SD)
Angus King (I-ME)
Mark Udall (D-CO)
Tom Udall (D-NM)
Johnson has already announced his retirement, so this was a giant “screw you” to South Dakota gun owners. In my opinion, South Dakota gun owners need to punish his party for his vote severely in 2014. I realize that the party could put up a person with a pretty pro-gun record. But, unless the Republicans put up a nominee with an anti-gun record, I would still suggest punishing the party in order to remind them not to screw with the gun vote. In fact, I would suggest that if the Dems do put up a pro-gun candidate, gun owners should go out of the their way to contact that person and the local party officials to let them know that you’re really sorry, but you can’t support their guy/gal after the betrayal by Johnson. Ruin his political brand and the association with gun control, even if he never plans on running again. It will show that not only will you punish those who vote against your rights, you’ll hold the state party accountable for the votes.
In Colorado, Bennett isn’t up until 2016. However, the degree to which gun owners have been screwed should motivate them to stay active until then. It would be quite nice to send him back home. His 2010 election was less than a 2 point race, and he couldn’t break 50% as the winner. However, the his colleague Mark Udall is up first in 2014. Unfortunately, he had much bigger numbers on the board during his last race, winning a 10 point victory. It’s clear that one goal of passing a magazine ban in Colorado was to give political cover to both of the senators to vote for federal bans. They simply proved what we warned gun owners about – they’ll tell you they are only after the magazines that hold more than 15 rounds, then they’ll say 10 rounds, and next it will be 7 before it drops again. So, Colorado gun owners, get to work to send a message to Udall. If you can do it through a direct election loss, awesome. If not, focus your efforts on the state-level Democrats you can target.
For New Mexico gun owners, you have your own Udall on the ballot in 2014. Tom Udall is up, but I’m not sure how likely he is to beat. I don’t really know what to suggest to local gun owners there based on the 2008 results. On one hand, there’s a much better chance of sending him packing from DC in an off-year. On the other, he won by nearly 23 points. That was a better performance than Obama in the same year. Local folks are free to give their thoughts on any potential electoral punishment on that front. Unfortunately, his colleague, Heinrich was just elected and won’t be up again until 2018.
King from Maine isn’t up until 2018, so I’m not sure there’s much that can be done on that front for the state’s gun owners. I guess the best advice would be to start “investing” in pro-gun potential challengers. Give money when you can and help out with elections between now and then. The best long-term strategy in that situation is to make sure there are plenty of viable pro-2A candidates to choose from by the time it someone needs to declare. Not even Susan Collins felt the need to vote for a ban, and she’s actually on the ballot in a blue state in the next election.
There are some senators like Douchebag Casey who valued the gun owner vote prior to this hysteria, then did an about face when democratic leadership demanded it.
Will they continue their anti-gun ways? Will they go back to faking support for gun rights? Or will they be looking to make it up to us and salvage their NRA grades?
Still waiting (and hoping) for the news flash that DiFi’s head exploded from the frustation and futility of the moment . . . .
Not like she has a “High-Capacity” cranium now, is it? :)
A momentous vote. One thing that I’d like to hear you discuss, Sebastian, is where we stand with the blue dog Dems now.
I’ve read you saying that they disappeared in 2010. Obviously you were exaggerating for effect and we get that. It seems that Baucus, Begich, Pryor, and Heitkamp gave some rather useful bipartisan support to the high-profile vote today.
Maybe the lesson is that in purple states, where it would matter most to have them, reliable pro-gun Dems are becoming a thing of the past (see: Colorado debacle); but some still exist in solid red states like Alaska, Arkansas, Montana, and North Dakota.
Damn it, I just noticed that this is Bitter’s post and analysis, not Sebastian’s! My apologies. Will you still post some thoughts about the question? :)
I find it interesting, that the vote for ObamaCara and the vote against gun control are basically the same numbers. The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (PPACA) passed the Senate on a vote of 60–39. That was the “will of the people” and the President scolded us all on national tv for supporting court challenges.
The Feinstein Amendment failed 40-60 (the biggest push against), the Leahy-Collins Amendment failed 58-42 (the best showing by the anti-gun side), with all the other amendments coming in somewhere between those two extremes. Adjust the numbers for the differences in party make-up and gun control was basically voted against by the same margins as ObamaCare was voted for…
Naturally, President Obama goes on tv to scold us all.
The Colorado model failed at the national level. The Feinstein amendment was a non-starter to begin with and the endangered Dems were allowed to vote against it. For the others I guess the Dems decided that even Mikey Bloomberg didn’t have enough money to protect them on a statewide basis.
Step 2 is to jigger the election laws so as to make a Dem majority a permanent thing. That bill is sliding through the Colorado legislature where resistance seems to be futile and I’m guessing it will pass in time to secure the 2014 elections.
The analogous bill in Washington is Rubios immigration bill.
New Mexico has a huge population of reservation Indians who are as reliable a voting bloc as anyone could want.