Dave Kopel points us to a study done by the Independence Institute that showed the NRA can actually influence elections. I think they are using a limited number of elections here. You’d have to use more to draw solid conclusions, but it’s interesting, nontheless. Particularly in the conclusion:
So, does the NRA have any political impact? The answer is yes. This interest group gathers information on gun control and other issues important to the members, disseminates the information to the membership, represents its members to elected officials, reports to the membership the behaviors of elected officials, and helps shape public opinion on some issues. Put another way, the NRA is like a political party, but one that cuts across the current two-party alignment.
I’d like to see copies of this passed out on the Hill to all the Democrats, to inform them, and to serve as a very subtle warning; cross us at your own peril. Read the whole thing.