From Cam Edwards. Go read it.
Category: 2008 Election
Why Wright Did It
I think Wretchard of The Belmont Club hits it out of the park on this one:
Now after Obama built up a big delegate lead on Hillary, the Democratic Party was essentially committed to carrying Obama whether or not Hillary found some way to overtake the lead. Remember, Obama once in the lead, is always in the lead. Otherwise it’s a lynching. I think Wright is essentially running up the Jolly Roger knowing full well that the Democratic Party will have sail under those colors or lose the black vote. He’s going to force the Democrats to take Obama on his terms. This is the revolutionary act. Wright believes he has an historic opportunity and he’s going to take it.
I think part of the messianic air about Obama was that somewhere in the national consciousness people saw him as absolution for America’s original sin. In a sense, he literally was a messiah, come to forgive America for the sin of slavery and racism. Someone who could lead us into the promised land of post-racial politics. Reverend Wright, a man who built a ministry on racial politics, will apparently have none of that. Obama is now a false messiah.
Hillary Set Up Us The Bomb
This is a very interesting twist to the whole Wright fiasco. It would seem that it was a backer of Hillary Clinton that arranged the media conference with Wright. I have to hand it to them, nobody is as good at playing dirty as the Clintons. Pretty clearly they knew if they could get the good Reverend in front of the cameras, he would have plenty of rope with which to hang himself, and by association Barack Obama.
GOP Ads in North Carolina
Looks like the GOP in North Carolina ran an ad attacking Barack Obama, and by association the Democratic gubernatorial candidate for North Carolina, based on his association with Reverend Wright. I’m not going to agree with some in the media that the ad was in poor taste. I think the Wright issue is legitimate, as well as other folks Obama has close associations with. I don’t agree that this has anything to do with race, and I don’t get why other people want to wave that flag.
But nor am I going to join Rush Limbaugh in condemning McCain for distancing himself from the ad. From the McCain campaign’s point of view, it makes no sense to attack Barack Obama right now. If McCain or the GOP attacks him, you’re lending credibility to the notion of him being the nominee, and we don’t want that to start becoming a settled issue. With Hillary wailing away on Obama, and Obama outspending her six times over to not only lose, but to lose big, let the infighting continue. McCain and the GOP stand to gain nothing by attacking Barack Obama now, especially not on Rev. Wright. Let Hillary get dirty with him.
Let’s also not forget that the Republican have a lot of problems with the race issue, in terms of having certain people in the party who enjoy opening their mouths and inserting their feet. Not that the Democrats deserve a pass on this, by any means, but it matters little whether the the Wright ad was racist or not. There’s a public perception of the GOP as not being as good on racial issues as Democrats, and the media is only happy to foster that. The media meme was that the ad was racist, so McCain had everything to gain and nothing to lose by distancing himself from it. It allowed McCain too take the high road, while leaving Hillary to continue weakening Obama, and herself in the process. Either way this turns out, McCain gains. I would have imagined that people who follow politics as closely as Rush Limbaugh would realize that, but I have to wonder if they are too clouded by a seething hatred of McCain by this point to realize it.
The Gift That Keeps Giving
Reverend Wright is the gift that just keeps on giving:
The Chicago pastor refused to apologize for suggesting black Americans should sing “God Damn America” instead of “God Bless America” and for suggesting America brought 9/11 on itself because, as he put it, “we have never apologized as a country” for slavery.
“Britain has apologized to Africans but this country’s leaders have refused to apologize,” he said. Wright also said, “You can’t do terrorism on other people and not expect it to come back on you.”
Speaking as someone who has never enslaved another human being, nor knows anyone who has, I think I can fairly tell Reverend Wright to go to hell. One of the key concepts in American liberty is that we are not held to account for the sins of our fathers. And speaking of our forefathers, is this not enough of an apology for you Rev. Wright?
The Pennsylvania Strategy
The Weekly Standard thinks Hillary may have provided John McCain the key to defeating Obama:
In a new Brookings study of Pennsylvania’s political demographics, William Frey and Ruy Teixeira identify this region, centered on Allentown, as key to the state’s political future. If Pennsylvania’s Northeast keeps trending Democratic, the state will become solidly blue. But if a Republican candidate can hold the line or make some modest gains with the region’s white working class voters, the picture looks very different. And as it turns out, the GOP may have a candidate who can do just that in John McCain. As Hillary Clinton’s campaign slow-marches to its unhappy end, she is offering lessons not only for how McCain can defeat Obama–she is pointing towards a possible bright future for the Republican brand.
The Republicans have lost a lot in Pennsylvania, largely due to the Bush version of Republicanism alienating the traditionally Republican Philadelphia suburbs, and making those voters look elsewhere. That’s probably one reason I’m more sanguine about John McCain than most, is because I think the Republicans desperately need to make some gains in Pennsylvania, and McCain is probably the right kind of guy to appeal to voters in these key areas in the southeast. It’s not so much that I love the Republican Party, and want it to dominate, but I sit just across the river from a shining example of what one party rule does to a state. If Pennsylvania shifts solidly Democrat, if Ed Rendell is any indication of what is in long term store for us, we’re in a lot of trouble. Taxes will keep going up and up, people will keep leaving, and you can probably kiss Pennsylvania goodbye as a pro-gun state in a generation. If it takes McCain coattails to reverse that trend, so be it.
HatTip to Instapundit
UPDATE: Check out this graphic in the Inquirer that shows how Obama failed. It also shows that Ed Rendell had to carry near universal support in the Philadelphia area in order to win. Obama failed to not only carry overwhelming support in the southeast, he failed to beat Hillary.
Quote of the Day
From Barack Obama, on what he thinks about DC’s gun ban:
I don’t like taking a stand on pending cases.
Translation: “I agree with the law, but I have to win Indiana or I might be screwed when it comes to wooing superdelegates.” I don’t know why he’s so worried when he has AHSA’s endorsement.
Exit Polling
John Lott points to some evidence that Obama’s “bitter” comments did him no favors among gun owning Democrats. Obama learned a hard lesson about Pennsylvania voters: It’s not like Illinois, where he could safely thumb his nose at downstate people from his posh 1.6 million dollar home on the South Side of Chicago, knowing full well they can’t outvote his urban constitutents. Pennsylvanians can and do outvote Philadelphia. Politics here is hazardous for the inexperienced, and Obama didn’t have what it takes to navigate the minefield.
Hillary By Ten
It’s important to remember that Barack Obama was closing the gap on Hillary rather aggressively when he stepped on a land mind in the culture war and blew up his campaign. While “Bittergate” may have cost Obama the Pennsylvania primary, I think the cost to the Democrats in general is probably greater. The Democrats can’t be the party of large urban centers and still win national elections, and their attitudes toward, not just rural, but ordinary people and their lifestyles have been a big part of what’s holding them back.
Bittergate wasn’t broken by conservative digging. It wasn’t some intrepid reporter who uncovered it. It was a lefty blogger, who had little idea of the significance of what she was revealing. But how could she have? She was part of the same intelligentsia that Obama was trying to appeal to in the first place. If there’s one thing I’ve learned about the urban left, it’s that many are very insulated from lifestyles and opinions of those outside their parochial social circles. This is a trait most commonly attached to rural people, but mass media and the internet have largely ended that. Rural people are learning what life long urban dwellers like Barack Obama think of them, and they don’t like it.
I believe Wretchard of The Belmont Club summed up the issue best:
Americans in contrast, opted to leave that responsibility with individuals. The phrase “In God We Trust” is often attached by wags to the words, “all others must pay cash”. It’s a restatement of the belief that there are no special people, no natural overlords, no entitled class upon the earth. Bureaucrats are just people doing a job in uniform clothes. At the end of the day the world consisted of you and your Maker.
God and guns are a talismanic connection to the idea that the individual is supreme.
And that is what Democrats have been failing to understand for quite some time now. Democrats of the past often had lofty goals in terms of progressive reform, but respect for the people they thought they were helping was generally there. The more the Democrats look like they are a bunch of wealthy, educated, city dwellers trying to feel better about themselves by helping those poor ignorant indigents run their sad, pathetic lives, the more they are going to lose. Barack Obama just learned that lesson the hard way.
Overheard at Obama Headquarters
*ring* *ring* *ring*
Bob: Hello, this is Bob Ricker of American Hunters and Shooters.
Obama: Hey man, you told me if you guys endorsed me, all those crackers outside of Philadelphia would cast their vote for me. What the hell?
Bob: Look Barry, we’ll help you out in Indiana, for sure. My buddy Paul tells me we’re sure to deliver Fort Wayne. And there’s Gary Barry, don’t forget about Gary!
Obama: Indiana? Are you crazy? Those guys are even more bitter than Pennsylvanians.
Bob: We’re confident we can deliver the rich Perazzi shotgun vote. Those guys love us.
Obama: How many of those guys are in Indiana? Can you really deliver?
Bob: Can we deliver? Can we deliver? Is your name Barack Hussein Obama?
Obama: YOU SAID THE MIDDLE NAME! NEVER SAY THE MIDDLE NAME!
Bob: Sorry Barry. Look, it’s not our fault that Pennsylvania has so many whacko gun owners. We think we can get you to within at least 5 points of Hillary in Indiana. At least. Trust us on this.
Obama: I’m starting to think you guys are full of crap Bob.
Bob: A group called Hunters and Shooters endorsing you? What gave it away?
Obama: You just better help me out in Indiana!
*click*