1992:
So, people are angry at Bush for not being a real conservative, it’s looking like this Clinton thing has some real momentum, and it’s quite likely we’re likely to have a quirky independent candidate enter the race.
2008:
So, people are angry at Bush for not being a real conservative, it’s looking like this Clinton thing has some real momentum, and it’s quite likely we’re likely to have a quirky independent candidate enter the race.
Will Ron Paul enter the race as an independent? I can’t figure out any other reason why he’s sitting on that war chest while pulling single digits in the delegate count. I think he will. We remember what happened when the GOP vote split in 1992. The same thing could happen in 2008.
What I really want to know is where the gun vote is? Huckabee hasn’t had much appeal outside of evangelicals, many of whom are concerned about gun rights as well, but Huckabee hasn’t run on that message, other than talking about hunting. Fred and Ron Paul were the only real pro-gun candidates in the race, and both of them combined don’t add up to Huckabee’s Delegate count by a long shot. Are a lot of gun owners voting for McCain in the primary? For Romney?  I doubt it, but it’s possible.
Want to know why the GOP is such a fair weather friend to gun owners? It looks to me like we’re not voting in the primaries, or are actively supporting candidates in the primaries who have crappy records on the issue compared to other candidates. If gun owners were voting their issue, Fred would be doing better than he is, and would still be in the race. Gun owners need to be more involved in the primary politics of both parties if we want to stop voting lesser of two evils candidates. That’s really the only way to change the direction of the party.  One can vote third party, but that didn’t work out for the malcontents of 1992. I don’t think it will work out too well in 2008 either.
We have blown our chance in the primary, and that’s going to mean getting behind a ho-hum compromise candidate, or handing the keys to the White House to Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama. The choice is ours.