No NRA Endorsement for Harry Reid

There was this somewhat stunning announcement from Chris Cox on the NRA’s Political Victory Fund site this afternoon:

Friday, August 27, 2010 In the coming days and weeks, the NRA Political Victory Fund (NRA-PVF) will be announcing endorsements and candidate ratings in hundreds of federal races, as well as thousands of state legislative races. Unless these announcements are required by the timing of primary or special elections, the NRA-PVF generally does not issue endorsements while important legislative business is pending. The NRA-PVF also operates under a long-standing policy that gives preference to incumbent candidates who have voted with the NRA on key issues, which is explained in more detail here.The U.S. Senate recently considered a number of issues important to NRA members, including the confirmation of Elena Kagan to the Supreme Court. Out of respect for the confirmation process, the NRA did not announce its position on Ms. Kagan’s confirmation until the conclusion of her testimony before the Senate Judiciary committee. Her evasive testimony exacerbated grave concerns we had about her long-standing hostility towards the Second Amendment. As a result, the NRA strongly opposed her confirmation and made it clear at the time that we would be scoring this important vote.

The vote on Elena Kagan’s confirmation to the Court, along with the previous year’s confirmation vote on Sonia Sotomayor, are critical for the future of the Second Amendment. After careful consideration, the NRA-PVF announced today that it will not be endorsing Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid for re-election in the 2010 U.S. Senate race in Nevada.

NRA members and other interested parties are encouraged to visit www.NRAPVF.org for more information as Election Day draws near.

Given that the NRA’s Chris Cox and Wayne LaPierre are about as Washington Insider as it comes, the non-endorsement of Reid is recognition of two things in my opinion. First, the membership would rise up in protest if Harry Reid were to be endorsed. Second, the tide against the status quo is so strong that those who get in its way will be wiped out. Just ask Republican incumbents like Sen. Robert Bennett of Utah, Rep. Bob Inglis of South Carolina, and quite probably after all is said and done, Sen. Lisa Murkowski of Alaska.

PS: While Bitter and Sebastian are on vacation in Hawaii, I will be one of the guest bloggers in their absence. As my blog, No Lawyers – Only Guns and Money is quite new, I feel truly honored to be asked. I will do my best to keep up the standards that they have established.

A New Phenomenon

NPR, of all outlets, comments on a new trend: politicians featuring guns in their ads in an attempt to appeal to gun owners. It’s really nothing new, but years ago getting them into a duck blind, or posing with a shot gun at a clay range, was about the best you could hope for. Now we have politicians firing submachine guns and bragging about it. I consider this progress.

Attention Washington State Gunnies

This 2010 election is highly important, and there are some great opportunities to get involved. There’s a Senate where the anti-gun incumbent is vulnerable. Washington has always struck me as being similarly situated as Pennsylvania is regards to the gun issue. You have a large city with a lot of anti-gun D’s, new transplants from out of state who are against gun rights, and deteriorating support within the Democratic Party for gun rights, yet still a large number of people who will pull the the lever for the D candidate regardless of their position on the issue.

Things Get a Little More Interesting

Charlie Cook just updated his congressional race rankings, and our district was one of the changes issued.  Sebastian & I are hopeful for this race, but we also look at the reality of the situation.  Our district is attracting a significant number of Jersey & New York transplants – unfortunately, the types who bring their voting habits with them.  Even in the years of Tea Party excitement & serious organization here locally, the Democrats have the registration advantage and have consistently delivered more new voter registrations than the GOP since at least 2008.  Reality doesn’t bode well for us, especially when you factor in that the Democratic incumbent is a very good liar & fantastic fundraiser.

However, the political reporters have consistently labeled this a very competitive district for 2010.  I have questioned them about it, and pointed out that even Charlie Cook kept it rated as a “Lean Democrat” district even when others were considering it a top competitive race.  Well, that changed late yesterday.  Cook now considers this district to be “Toss Up.” While I won’t put all of my eggs in one basket when it comes to believing one political analyst over another, I guess this cements that they are seeing signs of life here that we just haven’t witnessed on the ground.

Interestingly, Cook also moved the ratings for several other Pennsylvania races to the right.  We have more competitive Congressional races by sheer number & percentage of districts according to some I’ve talked to about the state of politics here.  If you’ve got a few bucks burning a hole in your pocket, there are a lot of candidates who could use the help here in Pennsylvania to shake things up nationally.

Add in the fact that our State House could flip with just a handful of seat changes, and Pennsylvania is going to be a very interesting state to watch.

Harry Must Really Not Want that Endorsement

It would have been nearly impossible politically for Harry Reid to have voted “no” on Kagan, but come on Harry, we’re not this stupid. You can put a bow on the turd, but that doesn’t make it smell any better.

Democratic Officials Lining Up Behind Self-Proclaimed Tea Party Candidates

It looks like suburban Philadelphia Democrats are working hard to ensure that Republicans not only have to overcome the margin of error, but also the margin of fraud. Their first step is lining up self-proclaimed tea party type candidates to funnel off votes from Republican challengers.

I already mentioned the shenanigans in PA-7, and it’s amazing how slimy Democratic candidate Bryan Lentz and the local party leaders are trying to be by claiming that they have nothing to do with the third party candidate. In this age, you can’t hide.  Here are some of the names and titles of Democratic officials and activists who pushed Jim Schneller over the edge to get on the ballot released by PA2010:

  • Colleen Guiney is the head of the Swarthmore, PA Democratic Committee.
  • Joseph Gallagher is a Democratic Committeeman from Aston, PA.
  • Timothy Willard is a former Lentz staffer who previously worked on his state house campaign.
  • Nicholas Allred is an officer with the Swarthmore College Democrats – an organization that already backed the Democratic candidate.  (Election fraud – you can’t get started too early!)
  • Democratic activists Rocco Polidoro and Arthur Manos signed petitions to get Lentz on the ballot and then turned around to collect signatures for the third party candidate.

Upon further research, PA2010’s editor added this startling fact about the (legal) fraud at work in this self-proclaimed tea party campaign:

With the exception of Schneller himself and one registered Republican, it seems that all of Schneller’s circulators were registered Democrats, and most of them can be tied to Lentz by far less than Six Degrees of Separation. At least five of those circulators also gathered signatures for Lentz. And as we noted from the beginning, one of them is Colleen Guiney, the volunteer who Lentz once called “the hardest worker on my campaign.”

I don’t know how Lentz’s campaign and the Democratic officials can keep a straight face while they issue denial after denial.

It’s worth noting that local tea party groups have asked Schneller to leave the race, and they are making clear that they in no way support his candidacy.

The Independence Hall Tea Party Association, the largest such group in the region, endorsed Meehan in the spring and asked Schneller last year to quit the race, said Teri Adams, a board member of the group’s political action committee. …

The Independence Hall group and the Delaware County Patriots sent Schneller a letter Wednesday asking him again to drop out of the race, or at least to withdraw the signatures that Lentz volunteers and supporters had gathered.

In the meantime, we’re dealing with it here in PA-8, too. Here are the (so far) announced names of Democratic officials pushing a candidate who attended a Tea Party Forum in January only to tell attendees that they suck for attending and suck for voting.

  • Brian Caplan now works for the state Democratic Party and is a former staffer for Democratic candidate Patrick Murphy.
  • Jessica Milinichik also now reportedly works for the state party, but she was with the Murphy campaign as recently as a few weeks ago.

The third party candidate is expected to pull voters away from the Republican candidate, though the Democrats, again, deny any involvement.  Unfortunately, our local tea party group hasn’t issued any statements about this kooky candidate, even though he got up and insulted them at their own event.  Hopefully, they will make it clear to their supporters that they aren’t backing his candidacy.

I had my first experience with dirty politics from Philadelphia-area Democrats in 2008 when MoveOn volunteers canvassed our neighborhood and destroyed all of the GOP signs they recognized.  Not only were the McCain signs in our yards cut, but the frames were pulled out of our lawns and bent beyond easy repair.  Fortunately for me, I had a stash of extra frames from another campaign that didn’t need as much help, so I set out to repair the ones on our block.  I expect the same kind of shenanigans this year.

I’m not opposed to third party candidates, but I am opposed to those who accept help from one party just to screw over another candidate when they have no intention of running a real campaign.

Third Party Shenanigans to Make Even a Cynic Roll Their Eyes

The ballot access laws in Pennsylvania are notoriously tough for anyone who doesn’t have the nomination of a major political party, so it makes for big news when people qualify. In two local Congressional races, it’s likely to give us some very severe headaches in seats that are otherwise rated extremely competitive or complete toss-ups.

The most frustrating is the birther who plans to try and pull votes away from the pro-gun Republican nominee in PA-7, Pat Meehan, by claiming to be a Tea Party candidate backed by far left Democrats. (In reality, there was a Tea Party candidate in the race earlier this year, but he ran as a Republican in the primary and was defeated.) He’s pretending that he had no idea his most helpful supporters just happen to be officials with the Democratic Party, some of whom have been publicly recognized by the anti-gun Democratic campaign for their grassroots support. The Democrats aren’t even trying to deny what they did here, and they are eating it up. They don’t think their guy can win on a race based on issues, so they are instead trying to add fringe candidates to the right side in order to split off any votes they can.

What’s worse is that these same “grassroots supporters” for the birther also filed petition challenges in the primary campaign to pressure all of the Democrats not personally chosen by party leaders off of the ballot. They really are afraid of any competition at all and will use any tactic other than a clean campaign to get their way.

Here in our neck of the woods, there’s a new independent candidate in PA-8. By new, I mean just got on the ballot. Because he’s the kind of guy who runs for every office every election cycle. Oh, and he told Tea Party supporters at a forum that voters are all stupid because a) they vote, and b) don’t vote for him and his brand of crazy.

Tom debuted a brand new campaign strategy at tonight’s forum: Tell voters how much they suck. They suck for being voters. They suck for possibly being Republicans. They suck because they don’t vote for Tom. They suck for even turning out to such an event.

When not telling voters how much they suck, Tom indicated he may not honor treaties, and it didn’t really sound like he would give much thought to helping out Israel should they get attacked.

He’s likely going to try and appeal to angry Republicans who can’t get over the fact that their favorite candidates didn’t survive the primary. That’s exactly what the Democrats would like to happen – at least by a cursory glance at the race. After all, this is a blue district that would really only go red with a Republican focused on economic issues – the message the party appears to try and focus on this year. In other words, this is the year the seat could go back, especially since the GOP nominee is a former Congressman who only lost by 1,500 votes last time he ran.

Except, oddly enough, it looks like the Democrats might be lining up to kick Angry Crazy Candidate Tom off the ballot. I suspect it’s because they would rather have disaffected Republicans vote Democrat to “send a message to the GOP” rather than voting third party. They may well need every vote they can get, even if it’s just a spiteful vote from some conservatives being pissy about things not going their way every single time.

Ultimately, this means we’re going to have to work even harder for pro-gun candidates to not only beat the competition from both sides – Democrat & Crazy – but also overcome the margin of error fraud. I have a feeling that I’ll be hoarse come September with all of the phone calls I’ll be making and doors I’ll be knocking on.

Todd Tiahrt Loses his Primary

This is bad news. Very bad news. I keep saying the big problem we face this election is that no one gives a flying rats ass about gun rights because they haven’t been attacked along with everything else. This means we’re going to lose a lot of friends on the issue due to the anti-incumbent sentiment. Tiahrt was one of the good guys. Could the Tiahrt Amendment era be over? The Bradys and MAIG certainly will be hoping so.

See more discussion at PAFOA here.

UPDATE: Didn’t notice this was a Senate primary. He announced he was giving up his House seat a year ago. I can’t recall if I reported on that or not. Still bad news, either way.

Pro-Gun Democrats Looking for a Boost

Fox News (as has been documented on a gun blog somewhere, but I lost where I got this from, so I owe someone a hat tip) is noting that Democrats are hoping for a big NRA boost this year. If you want to know why even Chucky Shumer isn’t contesting the NRA exemption, this is why. The article notes that during 2002, NRA only spent 8% of its federal campaign contributions on Democrats. this year it’s 26%.