Category: 2010 Election

Gorden Brown resigned, and Queen Elizabeth has asked Tory leader David Cameron to form a new government. It will be a coalition government between the Conservative Party and the Liberal Democrats, who are not all that unlike our liberal Democrats, only with more a libertarian streak to them:

Sky News’ royal commentator Alastair Bruce said the Queen would have asked the Tory leader the constitutional question “Will you form the new administration?” and the moment he said “yes” he became prime minister of Great Britain.

Mr Bruce added: “And then his wife would have been invited into the room and they would all have had a jolly good chat.”

Mr Cameron is the 14th prime minister the Queen has dealt with.

Sky News’ royal correspondent Sarah Hughes said Mr Cameron’s audience with the Her Majesty lasted some 25 minutes.

The Queen wanted to prepare Mr. Cameron for his first gift from the Obama Administration, which no doubt took some time.  The operation is parliamentary systems is quite different from our own. Unlike our system, where coalitions are formed in the major political parties, with the hopes and dreams of the coalition members carried by one individual candidate, in a parliamentary system that happens in the government. The previous election in April was inconclusive, and resulted in a “hung parliament” since the Tories, while having gained many seats, did not quite achieve a majority of the seats. This left Gordon Brown the task of attempting to form a coalition with the Liberal Democrats. He failed, and tendered his resignation to the Queen, who asked David Cameron to form a new Administration. I would not expect that the Government David Cameron leads is going to be that effective. They will have to address many of the Liberal Democrat issues, and unless they gain a majority, will be subject to having the Liberal Dems bolt the coalition and take down the government. I would think that’s going to make it hard to get anything done, but perhaps they will be able to work together in areas where they do agree. It’ll be interested, at the least, to see what comes out of this.

I put up a quick hits post this morning on PAGunRights with various federal election stories that will impact Pennsylvania gun owners, including this piece that notes the Keystone State has lost more Congressional seats than any other state in history. An astute reader took note, and made a compelling argument that even though we might lose a seat, it may not be bad for gun rights.

States like Texas, Arizona, Utah, Florida, Georgia, etc. are usually (not always) sending pro 2nd Amendment representatives to the House and states like New York, New Jersey, Massachusetts, etc. are quite the contrary. …

Some of the other states that are losing a Rep are mixed bag of ratings but in general, it seems as this reapportionment would be a good thing for pro 2nd Amendment issues.

He noted that this is a theory, and it is correct as a theory. But damn it, real life may get in the way, or it could make his observation 100% spot on. The unknown factors will be state elections.

The Pennsylvania Concern
We’re most likely to lose a pro-gun seat. Regardless of which party controls the state House & Governor’s Mansion, the logical elimination in Pennsylvania is Murtha’s old seat. It doesn’t matter which party wins the special election to replace Murtha, they won’t be an entrenched incumbent. It’s also probably easier to absorb that corner of the state into the various district around it – it touches 4 other districts & is close to 2 more. That would allow the suburban districts around Philadelphia to simply “grow” west since we are likely the source of any growth in population.

Murtha’s seat is pro-gun, regardless of party, so that’s a loss right there. The expansion of seats in suburban Philadelphia will make it harder to hold on in close races, especially for two pro-gun votes in Reps. Charlie Dent & Jim Gerlach. But since it’s all politics, the logical thing to do might be ignored, and my assessment could be 100% opposite of what they actually do during reapportionment.

Those Other States
While culturally, many of the states slated to gain seats are pro-gun, most have portions that are most decidedly not friendly to our rights. Texas will likely see the most growth around Houston because of all of the Katrina evacuees, and those votes will not be in our favor. Arizona could be good for us, but even it has some anti-gunners in office. I am venturing to guess that their growth is mostly around Phoenix which has also been the source of many state lawmakers who get in the way of a pro-gun agenda.

Georgia’s growth, I assume, is probably centered around Atlanta which may be hit or miss depending on where the seats go. Nevada and Utah should, generally, be pretty safe. Though it really depends on where the transplants to Nevada are coming from – if it’s a bunch of Californians, that may not be good for us. Florida also produces as many anti-gun votes as pro-gun votes. Again, it depends on where their growth has been during the last 10 years.

The Solution
Voters in all of the states slated to gain a seat have to put pro-gun majorities in their state legislatures this year. Whoever has control of state houses after the November elections will decide who has power for the next decade. Gerrymandering is never a pretty sight to see, but it will happen. The question is whether we’ll have any kind of say in the process.

Here in Pennsylvania, we’ll benefit more by putting Republicans in power. The voters in Texas, Georgia, Arizona, Florida, Nevada, Utah, and other states will need to examine their own states to see which seats need to flip to seal majorities in their legislatures for pro-gun lawmakers.

My other tip is to not get lost in the federal battles alone this year. While it is important to flip Congress, because of reapportionment, you cannot afford to ignore your state representative and senate seats, either. This is not a year to sit on your ass. Write checks or start walking precincts.

This is probably the best use of the “have to pass it so we can find out what’s in it” and “we make up the rules” lines I’ve seen all year.  I doubt it will be topped.