Romney Derangement Syndrome

Roger L. Simon thinks the phenomena is real. I do have to say, the idea that Romney is a marxist is rather farfetched, but I’ve also heard people claim it:

So why pick on Romney over this? In truth, we are in the era of Romney Derangement Syndrome. It has gone so far that in the PJ Media comments today, someone wrote there was no hope for the country because Obama and Romney were both Marxists.

Really? The co-founder of Bain Capital is a Marxist? Well, I suppose if Bain were wildly unsuccessful you could hypothesize some kind of Cloward-Piven covert sabotage of our economic system was being attempted. But it wasn’t — and isn’t.

My big problem with Mitt is that he’s uninspiring and blows with the wind (or just plain blows, as you will). But hey, if my alternative is Mr. War On Porn, I can get over it.

NRA Getting Involved in Senate Primary Challenge

NRA usually doesn’t get involved with primary challenges, but it looks like they are getting involved in an attempt to unseat Dick Lugar:

Cox said the NRA isn’t waiting for the presidential election to get involved, turning to key Senate races to endorse pro-gun candidates even in primaries. Wednesday, for example, the powerful lobby backed Indiana Treasurer Richard Mourdock over Sen. Dick Lugar in the GOP primary. “The Supreme Court is certainly running in every Senate race in the country,” he told Secrets.

Looks like NRA wants to hedge its bets and try to improve the Senate in case we’re looking at another 4 years of Obama. I think the Senate is a weak check against Obama when it comes to court nominees, but any little bit can help. Lugar is not on any committees that could generally cause trouble for NRA, but he’d be quick to vote for cloture on a nominee who was just plainly unacceptable.

Hat Tip to Instapundit

Oh, Shit. It’s Going to be Mitt

By the sheer force of the man’s will to not lose, it seems it will be happening for Mitt Romney. I’ll be honest with you all, I was more willing to accept McCain, and heading into the silly season with McCain as the headliner was hard enough. My only comfort is that the alternative is Rick Santorum. Like I said previously, I’ll take the guy with no convictions over the guy with Rick Santorum’s convictions, or Obama’s convictions.

Clayton Cramer took part in the Idaho caucuses. I am not at all meaning to demean Clayton’s choice here, because we all ultimately have to make our compromises. If Santorum was the nominee, I’d vote for him over Obama. I wouldn’t like it, but Santorum would put nominees on the court who would strengthen Heller and McDonald. That’ll give me what I want right now, and I can leave the rest for future generations.

I think the caucus system has something going for it, because only the motivated are going to participate. It ultimately enforces compromises. I’d ideally like to see more caucuses going into the wee hours. This is a very personal, and local form of politics our country probably needs to see more of. In some ways I find it preferable than the political parties hijacking the election apparatus of the state, and giving any fool with a voter registration a say.

How do you feel about the not-so-super Tuesday results? How do you feel that this sorry lot is the best we can throw against the sorry lot of the Obama Administration, after people put so much hope in the tea party movement? Is this 1996 all over again? I don’t actually think so, because there’s a fundamental truth that the country is running out of other people’s money. What I’m not sure of, is whether this end result is going to be disaster.

The Shocking News for Super Tuesday

It’s not the fact that Mitt took Ohio. It’s not the fact that Dennis Kucinich finally lost his seat. It’s that in a Democratic primary with no serious challengers, Oklahoma Democrats made clear that they are not too fond of the President right now.

President Barack Obama collected the most votes in the Oklahoma Democratic primary, but lost in 15 counties.

With more than 90 percent of precincts reporting Tuesday, Obama won 55 percent of the vote. Four other candidates combined for 45 percent of the vote… (emphasis added)

In fact, this will result in the first non-Obama delegate to the Democratic convention awarded this year.

Let’s look at that again. These are Democrats. Nearly half of them wanted to vote for random dudes who got on the ballot for kicks than wanted to vote for the incumbent Democratic president. I love my home state. Even Sebastian said, “Yay Oklahoma!”

Ultimately, Obama’s team will ignore this since he will never have a shot at winning Oklahoma in the general. It’s the only state that went more red in 2008 because they didn’t like the guy with no real record back then, either. But, it does say something about the trouble a 50-state strategy could be for Obama this year.

It will be interesting to see what happens in the swing states this year. In 2008, the “excitement” had a damper put on it when Democratic canvassers from New York ripped out and tore up signs for any GOP candidates they recognized in our neighborhood. Considering 2010 drove people who never previously had signs out for elections to post really big signs for Republicans, our neighborhood could require a lot more time to “walk” for those folks.

Primary Day

We’re watching the results from Michigan come in, and Mitt or Rick, I can’t say it matters either way. I dislike both of them for different reasons, but to be honest, if it comes down to a race between Santorum and Romney, I’m going with Romney. At this point there’s not anyone I really like in the race, and I’ll take someone with no convictions over someone with the wrong convictions (like sticking your nose into everyone’s bedrooms).

In other news, if Tim Pawlenty isn’t kicking himself for dropping out, he ought to be. If he’s not, I’ll be happy to kick him. He’s is not perfect either, but he’s a sight better than either of these two. Bitter got to speak with Governor Pawlenty at the kickoff for Sportsmen for McCain back in 2008, and was impressed with him. Start speaking to a lot of politicians about our issues, and you get platitudes like this, because they don’t really care about, or understand the issue, except that they don’t want to anger gun owners, and would like their votes. They just know the basic 2A talking points, and hope that’s all you know too. Pawlenty knew the issue well, and could speak favorably on a number of topics important to gun owners, including carry rights. But no use concerning ourselves about what could have been… back to reality.

Red Jersey?

Well, it’s really looking more purplish, but hey, this is New Jersey:

But thanks to the new map, the [Democratic] party will likely lose its current edge in the House delegation. Unless Democrats can pick off a seat, the new makeup will likely be six Republicans and six Democrats in 2013.

A split delegation for New Jersey? Wow. This is good for the state. If anyone wants to see the end result of continuous, long-running one party dominance, one need look no further than California. New Jersey has at least made it past the first stage of the compulsive spender, which is accepting there is a problem. California is still in denial.

h/t Instapundit

What Are The Odds? Or How Important is This Election

A commenter from earlier gave us an idea of just how important the 2012 election is for gun owners:

From the perspective of anyone who supports the RKBA, this election should be about, “How much do you want to bet that Scalia, Kennedy, Thomas, Alito, and Roberts will all still be living by the end of 2016?” By then, their ages would be 80, 80, 68, 66, and 61.

At the risk of being a bit morbid, this begs the question of just what is the likelihood that one of the Heller 5 is going to kick the bucket between now and the end of what would be Obama’s second term. Given this rather morbid site, one can actually make a rough calculation, based on statistics for people that age in the DC area. Scalia, Kennedy and Thomas have roughly the same chance of dying, at 16%. Thomas is younger, but being African-American skews him into the same bracket as the older Scalia and Kennedy. Roberts is only 4%, being the youngest member of the court, and Alito only 6%, being not much older.

But the loss of one of the Heller 5 would result in a failure for the Second Amendment, and for basic failure analysis, you multiply the probabilities of the individual components functioning properly over that time to arrive at a 46% probability that if Obama gets a second term, the Second Amendment is toast. I’m not comfortable those odds, and I sure as hell hope other folks who care about the Second Amendment aren’t either. Reality is that the Justices, being upper middle class and with great health care coverage, will probably beat statistical averages. But that should still scare you. This also only considers death, and not health problems that force a retirement, or a justice just getting old and tired.

The odds of getting a pro-2A Justice from Obama are zero percent, and even if the GOP takes the Senate, I still don’t put the odds up above zero. Any of the Republican field will have a considerably higher probability of nominating a pro-2A Justice, just because the pool of candidates they have to choose from has a much higher probability of containing a pro-gun Justice than the pool Obama can pick from.

Rick Santorum, Virginian

The last time he ran for office in Pennsylvania, questions arose about where Rick Santorum really lived – in Pennsylvania or Virginia. It’s not uncommon for members of Congress to rent or purchase second homes in or new the District of Columbia because of the fact that they are there so often during the week and year. However, most return home for long weekends and breaks in the Congressional calendar, even if their families have also joined them closer to DC. It seems there were questions about whether Santorum even did that considering the house he claimed as his residence wasn’t even furnished.

While running for President, it appears as though he isn’t even pretending to be from Pennsylvania anymore.

R. Lee Ermey “Retires”

You may think that gun owners are pretty much universally registered to vote. If you think that, it’s just about as funny as The Gunny in this ad. It’s actually pretty disturbing when you talk to a lot of gun owners and realize that a significant number haven’t ever bothered to register.

Because I know all of the wonderful readers here have registered at some point in their lives, I’ll just remind you to make sure yours is up-to-date. If you’ve moved or anything, you’ll need to re-register. It’s a good time to remind folks since the primaries are coming up here in the Keystone State. The deadline for candidates to file was actually yesterday, and some of our pro-gun Congressmen are going to need the help.